MLB Preview · June 21, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs: Prediction, Odds & Preview
TOR 45-51at CHC 54-42·Wrigley Field·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
TOR43.8%56.2%CHC
The model leans CHC (56.2%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
TOR
ERA
2.56
WHIP
1.13
K%
36.9
BB%
11.0
K/9
13.55
IP
98.1
Arsenal
Four-Seam 36% · 98mphSlider 29% · 89mphChangeup 12% · 83mphCurveball 10% · 83mphSinker 9% · 96mph
CHC
ERA
4.17
WHIP
1.12
K%
24.0
BB%
6.2
K/9
8.75
IP
108.0
Arsenal
Four-Seam 41% · 92mphSplitter 34% · 83mphSweeper 14% · 81mphSinker 7% · 90mphCurveball 3% · 74mph
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️78°FClear
Wind 6 mph NE · in from CF
Precip 0%
Injured List
TOR
Addison Barger (RF)Injured 10-Day
Jesús Sánchez (RF)Injured 10-Day
Lenyn Sosa (2B)Injured 10-Day
Max Scherzer (P)Injured 15-Day
Anthony Santander (RF)Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis (P)Injured 60-Day
CHC
Matt Shaw (RF)Injured 10-Day
Ben Brown (P)Injured 15-Day
Daniel Palencia (P)Injured 15-Day
Edward Cabrera (P)Injured 15-Day
Ethan Roberts (P)Injured 15-Day
Hoby Milner (P)Injured 15-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.