San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| KC | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 2 |
The Story
The Kansas City Royals walked off the San Diego Padres 7-6 in ten innings on July 17, 2026, at Kauffman Stadium, completing a dramatic comeback that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win swing from 44 percent before first pitch all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The game was largely a low-scoring affair through eight innings, with the Royals holding a slim 3-2 edge entering the ninth, only to watch Ty France deliver a go-ahead home run off Alex Lange that shifted win probability by 36.3 percent in San Diego's favor. Carter Jensen then answered in the bottom of the ninth with a double off Mason City's Mason Miller that added 22.0 percent to Kansas City's win probability and kept the Royals alive heading to extras.
The tenth inning proved decisive in both directions. San Diego struck first in the top half, with Miguel Andujar ripping a double off Lucas Erceg that swung win probability 31.3 percent toward the Padres and capped a three-run frame that gave San Diego a 6-3 advantage. Sung-Mun Song added to the damage with a sacrifice bunt that moved win probability another 19.4 percent in San Diego's direction. Kansas City responded with four runs in the bottom of the tenth, capped by Carter Jensen's walk-off single off Kyle Hart, the single swing of the game that produced the largest win-probability movement at plus 48.4 percent.
Jensen was the clear standout of the night, finishing with a combined WPA of plus 76.4 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.8, with his late-inning double and walk-off single serving as the two most consequential batting events of the final two innings. Miguel Andujar posted a WPA of plus 43.9 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.9, while Salvador Perez matched Jensen's RE24 of plus 2.8 and contributed 33.6 percent in win probability added. On the mound, John Schreiber led Kansas City's relievers with a WPA of plus 10.6 percent, followed by Steven Cruz at plus 8.3 percent and Michael King at plus 7.5 percent, as the Royals bullpen ultimately held just enough to secure the victory.