San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 6-4 defeat at Chase Field on July 1, 2026, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate that put the home side at a 62 percent win probability. The Giants did their decisive damage in the fifth inning, swinging the game dramatically against Zac Gallen. Victor Bericoto opened that burst with a home run that shifted win probability 16.6 percent in San Francisco's favor, and Heliot Ramos followed with a home run of his own off Gallen for an additional 12.3 percent swing, the two blasts giving the Giants a 3-0 lead they carried through the sixth. Ramos added a triple in the top of the sixth, also off Gallen, moving the needle another 8.1 percent toward San Francisco and stretching the advantage to what would become a 6-0 cushion before Arizona mounted its response.
Arizona's push came in the bottom of the eighth, when the Diamondbacks plated four runs to make it a 6-4 game and inject brief life into a crowd that had watched its team trail for three innings. The rally, however, ran out of room. In the ninth, Pavin Smith grounded out against Caleb Kilian, a moment the DiamondIQ model credited with a 14.4 percent win-probability gain for the Giants, effectively sealing the outcome. A Lourdes Gurriel Jr. strikeout against Dylan Smith in the eighth had registered as the game's most damaging swing for Arizona at minus 9.7 percent, cutting off what might have been a larger threat.
Ramos finished as the game's top offensive performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a combined WPA of plus 19.6 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.7, while Bericoto contributed plus 14.5 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.5. On the mound, Trevor McDonald was the standout, credited with plus 28.4 percent WPA, the highest mark of any player on either side. Brandyn Garcia and Dylan Smith each added modest positive contributions in relief, helping San Francisco close out a game in which the model's estimate moved from a 38 percent pre-game probability to certainty in the Giants' favor.