Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| MIL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
The Story
The Chicago Cubs defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 4-3 in ten innings on June 28, 2026, at American Family Field, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had pegged as a 61 percent pre-game home win probability for Milwaukee before dropping it to zero by the final out. The Brewers had taken a 1-0 lead with a run in the second inning, and that score held through nine frames before a chaotic extra inning decided the outcome for both clubs.
The tenth inning was where the game's defining moments clustered. Chicago broke through first in the top of the inning when Michael Busch drew a walk off Joel Kuhnel, a play worth a swing of plus 29.4 percent win probability, putting the Cubs in position to strike. Seiya Suzuki followed with a single off Kuhnel that added another 26.6 percentage points, and Chicago ultimately pushed across three runs to lead 4-1 heading into the bottom half. Milwaukee answered with two runs in their turn, with Brice Turang's single off Ethan Roberts generating a plus 21.4 percent swing that briefly tightened the drama. The most impactful individual plate appearance of the entire game, however, belonged to Garrett Mitchell, whose bases-loaded walk off Jordan Wicks in the bottom of the tenth moved Milwaukee's win probability by plus 32.5 percent and made the final margin 4-3. Despite that swing, Ethan Roberts retired the Brewers before they could complete the comeback.
Among the game's standout performers, Mitchell led all batters in WPA at plus 32.5 percent to go with a RE24 of plus 1.3, though he ended up on the losing side. Busch finished at plus 20.4 percent WPA for Chicago, while Turang posted plus 19.0 percent for Milwaukee. On the mound, Abner Uribe led all pitchers with a plus 28.8 percent WPA mark, followed by Bryse Wilson at plus 23.4 percent and Brandon Woodruff at plus 18.9 percent. Chicago managed only four hits against Milwaukee's pitching staff but made them count when it mattered most, converting three runs in the tenth to seal the road victory.