Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies overcame a 61 percent pre-game home win probability assigned to Minnesota by the DiamondIQ model and beat the Twins 8-5 at Target Field on June 27, 2026, scoring five times across the seventh and eighth innings to pull away for good. The Rockies finished with 12 hits and no errors, while Minnesota managed 10 hits but could not hold an advantage that looked comfortable entering the middle frames.

Hunter Goodman was the central figure in Colorado's victory, accounting for a combined +29.2 percent in win probability added and a +3.7 RE24 across the game. His two-run home run off Mike Paredes in the third inning shifted the model's win probability by 10.7 percent, and his home run off Kody Funderburk leading off the seventh delivered the single largest swing of the night at +19.4 percent, effectively breaking the game open. Jake McCarthy also contributed meaningfully, his fifth-inning triple off Paredes adding 8.1 percent in win probability and helping set a pattern of Rockies baserunners that Minnesota's pitching staff repeatedly struggled to strand. Josh Bell's sixth-inning triple off Michael Lorenzen provided Minnesota's most significant positive swing at +12.0 percent from the home side, briefly keeping the Twins competitive before Colorado's late-inning surge took hold.

On the pitching side, Michael Lorenzen led Minnesota's staff with +14.8 percent in win probability added despite surrendering the Bell triple, suggesting he limited damage in other key situations. Taylor Rogers and Victor Vodnik contributed +11.3 percent and +8.8 percent respectively for the Twins, though the collective effort was not enough to neutralize a Colorado offense that piled on two more runs in the eighth and held Minnesota to three in the ninth, a final frame that proved too little too late.