Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

The Cincinnati Reds rallied past the Pittsburgh Pirates 9-7 at PNC Park on June 27, 2026, completing a comeback that hinged almost entirely on a three-run ninth inning. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Pittsburgh entering the day as a 55% favorite and closed at 0% after the Reds pushed across three runs in the top of the ninth off Gregory Soto. The decisive blow was a home run by Eugenio Suárez, which swung win probability by +76.1 percentage points and erased what had been a two-run Pirates lead entering the frame. Elly De La Cruz had worked a walk off Soto earlier in the inning to set the table, adding +15.2 percentage points of win probability, though Sal Stewart's ground into a double play briefly threatened to extinguish the rally, costing Cincinnati 28.2 percentage points before Suárez delivered.

Pittsburgh had built its advantage on timely extra-base hitting throughout the middle innings. Brandon Lowe's home run off Chase Burns in the bottom of the third was the game's second-largest swing for either side, adding +22.9 percentage points for the Pirates, and Esmerlyn Valdez added a solo shot off Caleb Ferguson in the eighth worth +21.4 percentage points to pull Pittsburgh within reach of what looked like a hold. The line score showed the Reds scoring in five different innings while Pittsburgh scored in four, with Pittsburgh's two-error night contributing to Cincinnati's ability to sustain pressure.

Suárez finished as the game's most impactful individual, posting a combined WPA of +78.6% and a RE24 of +2.4, numbers that reflect how singularly concentrated the outcome was around his ninth-inning at-bat. Edwin Arroyo contributed +25.6% WPA and a RE24 of +1.9, while Jared Triolo paced Pittsburgh's offense with +22.4% WPA and +1.8 RE24. On the mound, Isaac Mattson was Cincinnati's most valuable reliever at +10.6% WPA, and Tejay Antone added +1.9%. Yohan Ramírez was the hardest-luck arm on the night, finishing at -5.4% WPA.