Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Chicago Cubs 6-2 on June 26, 2026, at American Family Field, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate framed as all but inevitable by night's end, with home win probability climbing from 64% before first pitch to 100% at the final out. Milwaukee managed 11 hits against a Cubs squad that mustered just three, and Chicago's lone error further complicated matters for a visiting club that could not sustain any offensive momentum.

The pivotal sequence arrived in the bottom of the sixth inning, entirely against Cubs reliever Ethan Roberts. Garrett Mitchell delivered the biggest swing of the game, a home run that shifted win probability by plus 28.7 percentage points in Milwaukee's favor and stood as the single most consequential play of the night. David Hamilton followed later in the frame with a triple that added another plus 13.8 percentage points, and while Andrew Vaughn grounded into a double play that briefly cost the Brewers 17.5 points of win probability, the inning still produced three runs and effectively decided the contest. William Contreras extended the lead in the seventh with a home run off Jayden Murray, a plus 9.8 percentage point swing that pushed Milwaukee's advantage beyond reach. The Cubs' only moment of genuine relevance came in the top of the fifth, when Seiya Suzuki connected for a solo home run off Jacob Misiorowski for a plus 12.3 percentage point gain, briefly making it a one-run game, but Milwaukee answered emphatically.

Mitchell finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 25.1, paired with a RE24 of plus 1.3, while William Contreras posted plus 15.1 WPA and matched Mitchell's plus 1.3 RE24. David Hamilton contributed plus 16.7 WPA and plus 0.9 RE24. On the pitching side, Colin Rea led all arms with plus 15.9 WPA, supported by Jacob Misiorowski at plus 8.3 and Abner Uribe at plus 7.2, a collective effort that held Chicago to two runs and secured the series victory for Milwaukee.