Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers held off a late Cincinnati rally to take the road win at Great American Ball Park on June 24, 2026, defeating the Reds 6-5. Milwaukee built its advantage in two distinct bursts, plating three runs in the third inning and three more in the seventh, while Cincinnati answered with a run in the sixth, a run in the seventh, and three in the eighth before falling short in the ninth. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Cincinnati holding a 38 percent pre-game win probability, a figure that eroded steadily as the Brewers extended their lead before collapsing entirely when the Reds failed to complete the comeback.

The game's most consequential stretch came in the final two innings, beginning with Spencer Steer's eighth-inning home run off Craig Yoho, which shifted win probability by 22.9 percentage points in Cincinnati's favor and suddenly made a Reds comeback feel plausible. That swing set the stage for a tense ninth, where Elly De La Cruz drew a walk off Joel Kuhnel for a 20.2-point swing and JJ Bleday followed with another walk worth 17.5 points, loading the bases with the tying run on. However, Edwin Arroyo grounded into a forceout to end the threat, a play that swung win probability back toward Milwaukee by 17.0 points and sealed the result.

William Contreras was the game's most impactful individual contributor by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing with a plus-23.4 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.7, anchored by his third-inning home run off Rhett Lowder that registered a 20.0-point swing and gave the Brewers early command. Eugenio Suárez added a plus-13.8 percent WPA and plus-2.2 RE24 in support, while De La Cruz led Cincinnati with plus-21.8 percent WPA despite the Reds ultimately falling short. On the mound, Shane Drohan was Milwaukee's most valuable arm at plus-7.0 percent WPA, with Chad Patrick and Brock Burke each contributing plus-3.6 percent in relief to preserve the one-run road victory.