Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Baltimore Orioles 5-1 at Angel Stadium on June 23, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 48 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Los Angeles did its early damage in the first inning, when Nolan Schanuel homered off Shane Baz to put the Angels on the board, a swing worth +4.0 percent in win probability. The Angels then broke the game open in the bottom of the fifth, where Zach Neto delivered a double (+6.5%) and Vaughn Grissom followed with a run-scoring single (+5.5%), both at Baz's expense, as Los Angeles plated three runs in the frame to take a commanding 5-0 lead. Baltimore managed its lone run in the seventh but finished with just three hits and never mounted a serious threat.

Ryan Johnson was the dominant force of the evening, leading all pitchers with a +28.9 percent WPA as he effectively shut down the Baltimore lineup. The most notable negative play of the game came in the top of the second, when Leody Taveras struck out against Johnson, a moment that shifted win probability 7.0 percent against the Orioles at a point when they still had a chance to respond. Chase Silseth and Ryan Zeferjahn added modest contributions in relief, finishing at +2.2 and +1.9 percent WPA respectively, helping the Angels finish the game with a clean 5-1 margin and no errors on either side.

Among position players, Grissom led all batters with a cumulative +7.7 percent WPA, while Neto posted +5.4 percent alongside a positive +0.8 RE24, indicating his contributions came in situations of genuine run-expectancy consequence. Schanuel rounded out the top performers at +4.7 percent WPA and led the group with a +1.9 RE24, reflecting the outsized context of his first-inning home run. The Angels controlled the game from nearly wire to wire, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected that dominance throughout.