MLB Recap · June 22, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap

MIL2
Final
CIN1

Line Score

Team12345678910RHE
MIL0000000002230
CIN0000000001120

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers edged the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in ten innings at Great American Ball Park on June 22, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate giving the home side a 40 percent chance of winning — a figure that ultimately fell to zero. Through nine innings, neither team could scratch across a run, as both offenses managed a combined five hits in a tightly contested pitchers' duel. Brady Singer led the way on the mound with a game-high +42.6 percent WPA, and Brandon Woodruff added +24.1 percent WPA in support, the two starters combining to set the stage for an extra-inning finish.

The game's decisive sequence unfolded in the top of the tenth. Garrett Mitchell drew a walk off Tony Santillan (+8.7 percent WPA), and Sal Frelick moved the automatic runner with a sacrifice bunt (+13.5 percent WPA). Cooper Pratt then delivered the pivotal blow of the night, a flyout that — under the run-expectancy context of extra innings — shifted win probability by +34.0 percent, the single largest swing of the game, plating what proved to be the go-ahead runs. The Reds mounted a response in the bottom of the tenth against Joel Kuhnel, but Spencer Steer's groundout with runners on actually moved the needle +27.0 percent in Milwaukee's favor by stranding the threat, and Abner Uribe closed it out to secure the win.

Pratt finished as the game's top performer by WPA at +34.0 percent with a +0.9 RE24, while Brice Turang contributed quietly with +7.5 percent WPA and +0.7 RE24. Steer's +19.4 percent WPA on the night reflected the high-leverage situations Cincinnati put him in, though his -0.8 RE24 underscored the Reds' inability to convert. Trevor Megill had held the door open in the ninth by retiring Blake Dunn on a lineout that shifted win probability +14.0 percent toward Milwaukee, preserving what turned out to be a scoreless frame that the Brewers ultimately needed. The final line told the whole story: Milwaukee three hits, Cincinnati two, and a 2-1 result that took ten innings to decide.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalCIN win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 40.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Cooper Pratt Flyout
Top 10th · off Tony Santillan
+34.0%
Spencer Steer Groundout
Bot 10th · off Joel Kuhnel
+27.0%
Blake Dunn Lineout
Bot 9th · off Trevor Megill
+14.0%
Sal Frelick Sac Bunt
Top 10th · off Tony Santillan
+13.5%
Top 10th · off Tony Santillan
+8.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Cooper Pratt+34.0%+0.9 RE24
Spencer Steer+19.4%-0.8 RE24
Brice Turang+7.5%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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