Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

Detroit held off Chicago 4-3 at Comerica Park on June 19, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Tigers win beginning the day at 43% and climbing to 100% by the final out. The game was decided largely by two swings in the middle innings. Kerry Carpenter's sixth-inning double off Erick Fedde was the pivotal moment for Detroit, shifting win probability by plus 25.3 points and serving as the highest-leverage play of the afternoon. Chicago had briefly threatened to take control in the same frame when Junior Perez connected on a home run off Tarik Skubal, a swing worth plus 14.3 points of win probability that brought the White Sox within striking distance. Detroit entered the sixth already holding a 2-1 lead built in the opening inning, and Carpenter's double helped push that advantage to 4-2 before Chicago could answer further.

The White Sox could not capitalize when opportunities arose late. Edgar Quero's grounded-into-double-play in the top of the eighth, coming against Will Vest, erased whatever momentum Chicago still carried and cost the visitors 16.4 points of win probability in a single sequence. The Tigers' bullpen locked things down from there, with Kenley Jansen leading Detroit relievers at plus 15.2 WPA, followed by Vest at plus 10.8 and Drew Anderson at plus 9.9. Carpenter finished as the game's top offensive performer at plus 22.2 WPA and plus 1.3 RE24, while Perez's home run left him at plus 15.0 WPA and plus 1.0 RE24. Randal Grichuk contributed a fifth-inning walk off Skubal worth plus 9.6 WPA and led all batters with plus 1.8 RE24, though Colson Montgomery's strikeout in the same inning, also off Skubal, immediately negated that threat at minus 9.5 points of win probability. Both teams finished with eight hits, with Detroit committing the game's only error.