MLB Recap · June 13, 2026

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap

NYY3
Final
TOR1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY000100002350
TOR001000000161

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 at Rogers Centre on June 13, 2026, completing a game that turned sharply in the ninth inning. Toronto held a 1-0 lead through eight innings, with Kevin Gausman dominating for the Blue Jays and finishing as the game's top pitcher by WPA at plus-30.9 percent. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Blue Jays win stood comfortably above 50 percent deep into the contest, and Gausman's outing appeared to be the decisive factor — until Paul Goldschmidt changed everything with one swing. Goldschmidt's two-run home run off Louis Varland in the top of the ninth added 35.1 percent in win probability, the single largest play of the game, flipping what had been a tenuous Toronto advantage into a 2-1 Yankees lead that would become 3-1 by the inning's end.

The Blue Jays had their own scoring opportunities but squandered them at critical moments. Kazuma Okamoto grounded into a double play in the fifth inning off Cam Schlittler, a swing of negative 11.6 percent in win probability, and Charles McAdoo popped out in the eighth against Fernando Cruz, costing Toronto another 14.3 percent. Schlittler and Cruz both finished with strong WPA marks of plus-21.5 and plus-10.9 respectively, reflecting how effectively New York's pitching staff suppressed Toronto's offense outside of a single third-inning run. The Blue Jays finished with six hits but the error on their ledger and the failure to convert late chances proved fatal.

Among the individual performers, Goldschmidt led all batters with a net WPA of plus-25.9 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.0, while Jasson Dominguez provided the game's other home run in the fourth off Gausman, a swing worth plus-11.3 percent in win probability that gave New York its first lead. Yohendrick Pinango contributed a plus-7.5 percent WPA and plus-0.9 RE24 to round out New York's offensive contributors. On the Toronto side, Nathan Lukes recorded a plus-12.5 percent WPA largely through a ninth-inning strikeout against David Bednar that the DiamondIQ model credited as the most favorable moment remaining for the Blue Jays, though it was ultimately not enough to alter the final outcome.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalTOR win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 40.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Paul Goldschmidt Home Run
Top 9th · off Louis Varland
+35.1%
Nathan Lukes Strikeout
Bot 9th · off David Bednar
+14.4%
Charles McAdoo Pop Out
Bot 8th · off Fernando Cruz
-14.3%
Kazuma Okamoto Grounded Into DP
Bot 5th · off Cam Schlittler
-11.6%
Jasson Domínguez Home Run
Top 4th · off Kevin Gausman
+11.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Paul Goldschmidt+25.9%+1.0 RE24
Nathan Lukes+12.5%-0.1 RE24
Yohendrick Piñango+7.5%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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