MLB Recap · June 12, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

PHI0
Final
MIL6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI000000000010
MIL11003100-690

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the Philadelphia Phillies a 6-0 shutout on June 12, 2026, at American Family Field, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate saw coming after assigning Milwaukee a 63 percent pre-game win probability that ultimately climbed to 100 percent by the final out. Milwaukee scored in each of the first two innings before delivering the knockout blow in the fifth, and Philadelphia managed just one hit across nine innings in a performance that was never genuinely competitive after the game's midpoint.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the fifth inning, when Jake Bauers connected on a home run off Andrew Painter that swung win probability by plus 16.6 percent, the single largest play of the game. Painter had already absorbed a grinding second inning in which a Christian Yelich groundout, in a bases-loaded situation, produced a plus 6.5 percent swing for Milwaukee, reflecting how much run-expectancy pressure Philadelphia's starter was operating under. The Phillies mounted their most credible threat in the top of the fourth, when Kyle Schwarber singled off Jacob Misiorowski for a plus 4.4 percent swing, but Trea Turner's strikeout and Bryce Harper's double play immediately erased any momentum, with the two outs combining for negative 9.8 percent in win probability for Philadelphia.

Misiorowski was the dominant individual performer on the night, finishing with a plus 19.3 percent WPA to lead all pitchers, a figure that underscores how thoroughly he suppressed Philadelphia's offense during the innings he worked. Bauers paced Milwaukee's hitters at plus 15.2 percent WPA and plus 2.4 RE24, reflecting both the timing and the run-production value of his fifth-inning blast. Yelich added plus 5.8 percent WPA, and the model leans toward crediting the Brewers' pitching staff as the primary architect of the outcome, holding the Phillies to a single hit and leaving Philadelphia with nothing to build on offensively from the opening pitch forward.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalMIL win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 63% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jake Bauers Home Run
Bot 5th · off Andrew Painter
+16.6%
Christian Yelich Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Andrew Painter
+6.5%
Bryce Harper Grounded Into DP
Top 4th · off Jacob Misiorowski
-5.8%
Kyle Schwarber Single
Top 4th · off Jacob Misiorowski
+4.4%
Trea Turner Strikeout
Top 4th · off Jacob Misiorowski
-4.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Jake Bauers+15.2%+2.4 RE24
Christian Yelich+5.8%+0.1 RE24
Kyle Schwarber+4.2%-0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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