Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants walked off with an 11-10 victory over the Washington Nationals on June 10, 2026, at Oracle Park in a game that swung dramatically before the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win climbed from 44 percent before first pitch all the way to 100 percent at the final out. Washington built a 9-6 lead heading into the bottom of the ninth, but San Francisco erased it in stunning fashion, capping the comeback on a walk-off home run by Bryce Eldridge off Mitchell Parker that shifted win probability by 78.3 percent in a single swing — the most impactful play of the night by a wide margin. Jung Hoo Lee's single earlier in that same inning had already begun tilting the balance, adding 12.8 percent to San Francisco's chances and setting the stage for Eldridge's decisive blow.
Washington had appeared to seize control through the middle innings. James Wood's third-inning home run off Robbie Ray was the game's second-most consequential play, adding 18.1 percent to the Nationals' win probability and staking them to an early lead. The Nationals then erupted for four runs in the sixth on hits that included a Nasim Nuñez single off Carson Seymour worth 10.6 percent and a Daylen Lile single off Robbie Ray adding 10.4 percent, pushing Washington's advantage to three before a three-run seventh made it look like a comfortable cushion. San Francisco answered with five runs in the bottom of the eighth to tie matters, setting the stage for the ninth-inning collapse.
Among the individual performances, Eldridge finished as the night's clear standout with a WPA of plus-76.6 and an RE24 of plus-2.6. Wood led Washington's contributors with a WPA of plus-16.1 and an RE24 of plus-1.6, while Lile added a WPA of plus-10.5 and an RE24 of plus-1.8. On the pitching side, Foster Griffin was the top performer by WPA at plus-19.3 for San Francisco, while Orlando Ribalta and Reiver Sanmartin finished in slightly negative territory at minus-0.7 and minus-1.4, respectively. The Giants' final-inning rally produced one of the sharpest single-inning probability reversals the DiamondIQ model captured this season.