Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals handed the San Francisco Giants a 6-3 defeat at Oracle Park on June 9, 2026, completing the win with a two-run seventh inning that pushed the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Giants victory from a pre-game 42 percent all the way to zero. Washington struck first with two runs in the opening inning, and while San Francisco answered with two in the fifth to briefly close the gap, the Nationals responded with two more in the seventh and added an insurance run in the ninth to secure the result.

The fifth inning represented the decisive turning point in win-probability terms. Jung Hoo Lee delivered a double off Brad Lord that added 20.8 percentage points of win probability for the Giants, the single largest swing of the night, giving San Francisco a fleeting sense of momentum. However, the rally collapsed almost immediately, as Daniel Susac's pop out cost the Giants 9.9 percentage points in that same frame, and his grounded into double play in the fourth had already subtracted another 9.4 points. Casey Schmitt's pop out against Andrew Alvarez in the second inning removed another 9.1 percentage points, and when Andrés Chaparro drew a walk off Erik Miller to extend the Nationals' seventh-inning threat, it added 8.6 points to Washington's side of the ledger.

On the individual side, Matt Chapman led Washington's contributors with a WPA of plus-19.5 and an RE24 of plus-1.1, while Jung Hoo Lee finished with plus-18.6 WPA and the game's top RE24 of plus-1.3 despite his team's loss. Daylen Lile also made a meaningful impact at plus-10.5 WPA and plus-2.3 RE24. On the mound, Andrew Alvarez was the most effective arm on the night by WPA at plus-13.0, benefiting directly from the Giants' repeated failures to extend their at-bats. Richard Lovelady added plus-8.3 and JT Brubaker contributed plus-5.8, as Washington's pitching staff collectively held San Francisco to three runs on nine hits despite matching the Nationals' hit total.