Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins defeated the Chicago White Sox 6-4 at Target Field on June 2, 2026, in a game that turned decisively in the fourth inning after the DiamondIQ model's pre-game home win probability sat essentially even at 48%. Minnesota entered that frame trailing 3-1 following a three-run White Sox third, but the Twins answered with four runs of their own against Davis Martin to take control for good. Three consecutive singles drove the swing, with Tristan Gray's base hit carrying the largest win-probability impact of the rally at plus 15.5 points, followed closely by Alex Jackson's single at plus 12.2 points and Luke Keaschall's contribution at plus 11.8 points. Minnesota added a run in the fifth to build a 6-3 cushion, and despite a Chase Meidroth single in the seventh that briefly injected life into Chicago's prospects at plus 19.5 points, Sam Antonacci's strikeout against Anthony Banda in that same inning swung the win probability back by minus 12.2 points and effectively ended the threat.

The standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's estimates were all in Minnesota's lineup. Alex Jackson led all players with a WPA of plus 22.0 and an RE24 of plus 1.8, reflecting the sustained run-environment value he created. Luke Keaschall posted a WPA of plus 18.4 and an RE24 of plus 1.5, while Meidroth's seventh-inning single gave him the top WPA mark among White Sox hitters at plus 19.5, though it ultimately proved insufficient. On the mound, Yoendrys Gómez contributed the most among Minnesota's pitchers at plus 13.6 WPA, with Anthony Banda adding plus 13.0 as Chicago's final-inning push was contained. The Twins' final win probability reached 100 percent by the game's end, a long way from the dead-even opening line.