Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| HOU | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers took a hard-fought 5-4 decision over the Houston Astros in ten innings on May 29, 2026, at Daikin Park, completing the comeback despite holding just a 35 percent pre-game win probability according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Milwaukee trailed by virtue of Houston's four-run fourth inning, which gave the Astros what appeared to be firm control, but the Brewers answered with a two-run fifth and continued to chip away before forcing extra innings. The game remained tense through nine frames, with Abner Uribe striking out Brice Matthews in the bottom of the ninth in a sequence that shifted win probability by 17.5 points in Houston's favor, briefly offering the Astros a path to a walk-off that never came.
The tenth inning proved decisive and swung sharply in Milwaukee's direction. Jackson Chourio was the central figure, first delivering a solo home run off Kai-Wei Teng in the fifth that registered a 17.8-point win-probability swing, then adding a flyout in the tenth worth 16.4 points as part of a sequence that put the Brewers ahead. William Contreras drew a strikeout against Alimber Santa in the top of the tenth that added 23.1 points of win probability, the single largest play of the game. Houston had a chance to answer, but Trevor Megill induced a strikeout against Cam Smith in the bottom half that flipped 19.0 points back toward Milwaukee and ended the threat, sealing the win.
Chourio finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-40.4 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.4, while Cam Smith contributed plus-33.5 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.9 despite making the final out on the mound's terms. Jake Meyers added plus-16.5 percent WPA in a supporting role. On the pitching side, Bryan King led Milwaukee's relievers with plus-17.7 percent WPA, followed by Steven Okert at plus-15.8 and Aaron Ashby at plus-10.9, a trio that collectively held Houston scoreless through the critical late innings and preserved the Brewers' road victory.