St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 3 | 0 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the St. Louis Cardinals 2-1 on May 27, 2026, at American Family Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate beginning at a 63 percent home win probability and closing at 100 percent after an eighth-inning rally settled the outcome. St. Louis had managed to scratch across a run in the top of the fourth when Bryan Torres hit a triple off Chad Patrick, a sequence that shifted win probability by 13.3 percentage points in the Cardinals' favor and represented their most consequential offensive moment of the night. Despite collecting eight hits to Milwaukee's three, the Cardinals' two errors proved costly, and they were unable to push across another run against a Brewers pitching staff that otherwise kept them quiet through nine innings.
The game turned decisively in the bottom of the eighth against Cardinals reliever JoJo Romero. A fielding error on Jackson Chourio's batted ball was the single largest swing of the contest, adding 26.1 percentage points of win probability to Milwaukee's side and opening the door for the Brewers' two-run frame. Christian Yelich followed with a single worth 14.0 percentage points, extending the threat, though Andrew Vaughn's strikeout temporarily pushed the probability back in St. Louis's direction by 14.0 points. Garrett Mitchell had also contributed a double off Dustin May worth 13.4 percentage points earlier in the inning sequence, helping construct the rally that proved to be the final margin.
Among individual performers, Chourio led all batters with a WPA of plus-21.6 and an RE24 of plus-0.7, while Mitchell and Yelich added plus-8.0 and plus-7.9 WPA respectively. On the pitching side, Dustin May paced Milwaukee's staff with a WPA of plus-21.7, followed by Trevor Megill at plus-15.2 and Aaron Ashby at plus-14.0, a trio that collectively held St. Louis to one run across a game in which the Cardinals' hit total suggested a closer result than the final score indicated.