MLB Recap · May 26, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

STL0
Final
MIL6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
STL000000000070
MIL00015000-6101

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers shut out the St. Louis Cardinals 6-0 on May 26, 2026, at American Family Field, turning what opened as a competitive game into a decisive home victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving Milwaukee a 61% win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100%, reflecting just how thoroughly the Brewers controlled the outcome once their offense came to life.

The game's turning point arrived in two distinct waves. Jake Bauers delivered the first blow in the bottom of the fourth, connecting for a home run off Michael McGreevy that shifted win probability by plus 11.4 percentage points and opened the scoring. The fifth inning then broke the game open entirely against McGreevy and reliever Ryan Fernandez. William Contreras doubled for a plus 10.0 percentage point swing, Christian Yelich added a double worth plus 6.1 points, and Garrett Mitchell capped the inning with a home run off Fernandez that nudged Milwaukee's probability another 7.7 points higher, accounting for the bulk of the five-run fifth. The only moment that gave St. Louis any traction was a David Hamilton forceout in the second inning that produced a minus 6.0 percentage point swing against the Brewers, but it amounted to nothing on the scoreboard.

Kyle Harrison was the game's dominant individual performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a plus 17.9% WPA from the mound to lead all players. Among Milwaukee's hitters, Bauers finished with the highest batting WPA at plus 12.3% alongside a plus 0.8 RE24, while Yelich contributed plus 4.5% WPA and a team-best plus 1.1 RE24 and Contreras added plus 4.3% WPA with a plus 1.0 RE24. St. Louis managed seven hits but never converted them into runs, finishing with a clean error column that nonetheless masked a thoroughly ineffective offensive night against Milwaukee's pitching staff.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025STL bats firstFinalMIL win %STL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 60.9% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jake Bauers Home Run
Bot 4th · off Michael McGreevy
+11.4%
Bot 5th · off Michael McGreevy
+10.0%
Garrett Mitchell Home Run
Bot 5th · off Ryan Fernandez
+7.7%
Christian Yelich Double
Bot 5th · off Michael McGreevy
+6.1%
David Hamilton Forceout
Bot 2nd · off Michael McGreevy
-6.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Jake Bauers+12.3%+0.8 RE24
Christian Yelich+4.5%+1.1 RE24
William Contreras+4.3%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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