St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| MIL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | 5 | 11 | 0 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers handed the St. Louis Cardinals a 5-1 defeat at American Family Field on May 25, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model anticipated from the outset, assigning Milwaukee a 59 percent pre-game win probability that climbed to 100 percent by the final out. The game was effectively settled in the opening frame, when the Brewers struck for three runs in the bottom of the first against Matthew Liberatore, establishing a margin that St. Louis never seriously threatened. The Cardinals finished with just two hits and an error, while Milwaukee collected 11 hits across a balanced offensive effort.
Jacob Misiorowski was the central figure in the game, posting a model-leading plus-22.4 percent WPA for Milwaukee's pitching staff. He neutralized St. Louis bats throughout, with the single most damaging sequence of the game coming in the top of the second, when Bryan Torres struck out against him, a play that shifted win probability by negative 6.0 percent from the Cardinals' perspective and effectively extinguished any early comeback momentum. St. Louis managed only a brief flicker of life in the top of the sixth, when Pedro Pagés singled off Misiorowski to move the needle plus-4.5 percent, but the Cardinals could not convert that moment into anything consequential. Brycen Mautz inherited a deteriorating situation in the later innings, surrendering a Garrett Mitchell single in the sixth worth plus-4.2 percent and an Andrew Vaughn double in the seventh worth plus-4.1 percent.
Andrew Vaughn led all position players with a plus-8.1 percent WPA and plus-1.9 RE24, providing the clearest individual offensive contribution in Milwaukee's win. Luis Rengifo added plus-4.3 percent WPA and Garrett Mitchell contributed plus-3.0 percent, rounding out a Brewers lineup that made consistent contact and gave Misiorowski all the cushion he needed. Blake Perkins was thrown out stealing second in the bottom of the first, a play that shifted plus-4.3 percent toward St. Louis, though the Cardinals were unable to capitalize on that gift in any meaningful way.