Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | 5 | 7 | 1 |
The Story
Seattle pulled away from Chicago on Wednesday night at T-Mobile Park, defeating the White Sox 5-4 in a game that was largely tight until a pivotal three-run seventh inning swung the DiamondIQ model's estimate from a competitive split to an overwhelming Mariners advantage. The pre-game home win probability stood at an even 50 percent, a figure that fluctuated through the middle innings before Seattle ultimately closed things out at 100 percent in the model's final read.
The seventh inning was the decisive turning point by nearly every measure. Randy Arozarena delivered the biggest swing of the night with a home run off Jordan Hicks that shifted win probability by plus 19.3 percent in Seattle's favor, and Jhonny Pereda followed with another home run, this one off Sean Newcomb, adding another plus 15.8 percent to the Mariners' chances. That three-run burst broke what had been a back-and-forth contest and effectively settled the outcome. The top of the sixth also carried significant weight in the other direction, as Drew Romo's groundout off Cooper Criswell represented a minus 18.4 percent swing that stalled a Chicago threat, while Tristan Peters had earlier registered a plus 10.9 percent double against Criswell that kept the White Sox in the game momentarily. Munetaka Murakami's single off Emerson Hancock in the fifth was Chicago's most impactful offensive moment, worth plus 16.0 percent.
Pereda finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 19.5 percent with a RE24 of plus 0.9, while Arozarena posted plus 17.0 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.7, his home run proving the most consequential single swing. Peters contributed plus 11.0 percent in WPA for Chicago despite the loss. On the pitching side, Matt Brash led Seattle's staff with plus 8.3 percent WPA, followed by Cooper Criswell at plus 7.1 percent and José A. Ferrer at plus 6.3 percent. Chicago finished with 11 hits against Seattle's 7, but the White Sox could not convert that edge into enough runs, managing just four on the night while surrendering the game in the seventh.