MLB Recap · May 10, 2026

New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

NYY3
Final
MIL4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY110001000360
MIL000300001460

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers walked off the New York Yankees 4-3 on May 10, 2026, at American Family Field, with Brice Turang delivering a walk-off home run in the bottom of the ninth off David Bednar that swung win probability by 45.9 points and lifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Milwaukee victory from what had been a contested game to a final certainty. The Brewers entered the night as slight underdogs, with the DiamondIQ model placing their pre-game home win probability at 48 percent, and the game remained competitive through much of the evening before Turang's decisive blow ended it.

The fourth inning was the central turning point before that final moment, as Milwaukee plated three runs to build a lead that would hold until the Yankees briefly threatened. Blake Perkins connected on a single off Carlos Rodón that carried a win-probability swing of plus 20.2 percent, the second-largest play of the game, while Andrew Vaughn reached on a hit by pitch off Rodón moments earlier that added another 8.6 points of win probability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. kept New York alive in the top of the sixth with a double off DL Hall worth plus 15.2 percent in win probability, accounting for the Yankees' most impactful offensive moment. A Garrett Mitchell groundout into a double play in the bottom of the eighth represented a missed opportunity for Milwaukee, costing the Brewers 13.6 points of win probability.

Among individual performers, Turang finished as the game's most valuable batter by WPA at plus 43.1 percent with a RE24 of plus 0.7, while Perkins added plus 13.8 percent WPA and led Milwaukee's position players with a RE24 of plus 1.4. William Contreras contributed plus 11.2 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 0.7. Out of the bullpen, Fernando Cruz led Milwaukee's relievers with plus 14.6 percent WPA, followed by Abner Uribe at plus 13.5 percent and Tim Hill at plus 10.9 percent, a trio that collectively protected the lead long enough for Turang to end it.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalMIL win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 48.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brice Turang Home Run
Bot 9th · off David Bednar
+45.9%
Blake Perkins Single
Bot 4th · off Carlos Rodón
+20.2%
Top 6th · off DL Hall
+15.2%
Garrett Mitchell Grounded Into DP
Bot 8th · off Tim Hill
-13.6%
Andrew Vaughn Hit By Pitch
Bot 4th · off Carlos Rodón
+8.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Brice Turang+43.1%+0.7 RE24
Blake Perkins+13.8%+1.4 RE24
William Contreras+11.2%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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