MLB Recap · May 10, 2026

Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap

LAA6
Final
TOR1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA000041001670
TOR100000000150

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels silenced Rogers Centre on May 10, 2026, defeating the Toronto Blue Jays 6-1 to hand the home side a result the DiamondIQ model had given a 60 percent pre-game probability of avoiding. The Angels finished with seven hits and committed no errors, while Toronto managed five hits and likewise played clean defensively. The final win probability for the Blue Jays settled at zero percent, a complete reversal of their pre-game standing.

The decisive blow came in the fifth inning, when the Angels erupted for four runs entirely at the expense of Blue Jays starter Eric Lauer. Oswald Peraza's home run shifted the win probability by 19.7 percentage points in Los Angeles's favor, and Vaughn Grissom followed with a double that added another 18.0 points, making those two swings alone responsible for the core of Toronto's collapse. A Nolan Schanuel walk during the same frame contributed an additional 4.9 points of swing. Jo Adell extended the lead with a solo home run off Lauer in the sixth, adding 7.3 percentage points to the Angels' advantage and pushing the margin to five runs.

On the pitching side, José Soriano was the standout for Los Angeles, contributing 23.1 percentage points of win probability to lead all pitchers in the game. Spencer Miles added 7.8 points in his own right. Among position players, Peraza finished with a team-high plus-16.4 WPA and a RE24 of plus-0.8, while Grissom posted plus-15.2 WPA and the strongest run-expectancy figure among hitters at plus-1.3. Jo Adell rounded out the top three with plus-9.8 WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.5, reflecting his efficient contribution in terms of actual run value added.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalTOR win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 60% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Oswald Peraza Home Run
Top 5th · off Eric Lauer
+19.7%
Vaughn Grissom Double
Top 5th · off Eric Lauer
+18.0%
Jo Adell Home Run
Top 6th · off Eric Lauer
+7.3%
Top 5th · off Eric Lauer
+4.9%
Sebastián Rivero Pop Out
Top 2nd · off Spencer Miles
-3.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Oswald Peraza+16.4%+0.8 RE24
Vaughn Grissom+15.2%+1.3 RE24
Jo Adell+9.8%+2.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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