The Chicago White Sox walked off the Los Angeles Angels 3-2 in ten innings on April 29, 2026, at Rate Field, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked from a 62 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The game was a pitchers' duel through six scoreless innings before Chicago scratched across a run in the bottom of the third, and the Angels answered in the fourth to knot things at one. Los Angeles reclaimed the lead in the seventh when Vaughn Grissom launched a home run off Erick Fedde, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-17.0 percent in the Angels' favor and gave them what appeared to be a decisive advantage heading into the late innings.
Chicago's path back began in the bottom of the ninth, when Sam Antonacci delivered the most consequential play of the night, a triple off Ryan Zeferjahn that swung win probability by an extraordinary plus-48.8 percent and tied the game at two. That single at-bat erased Los Angeles's lead and fundamentally reset the contest. Antonacci finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-48.0 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.0. The game extended to the tenth, where Drew Pomeranz ran into immediate trouble. Munetaka Murakami drew a walk that moved the needle plus-22.5 percent, and Colson Montgomery followed with a single worth plus-15.9 percent, plating the winning run and ending the game. Murakami finished with a WPA of plus-24.8 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.8, the best run-context figure of the night.
On the mound, Sam Bachman led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-17.0 percent, followed by Yusei Kikuchi at plus-10.6 percent and Mitch Farris at plus-9.6 percent, indicating that Chicago's staff held meaningful leverage throughout. Los Angeles's Nolan Schanuel appeared in the top-ten plays with a groundout in the tenth that carried a plus-14.3 percent WPA, reflecting how tightly contested the extra frame was before Chicago closed it out.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.