The Chicago White Sox rallied past the Los Angeles Angels 8-7 at Rate Field on April 27, 2026, in a game that turned almost entirely on a single massive inning. The Angels entered the seventh holding a 4-1 lead and the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a White Sox win had drifted well below the 55% pre-game figure, but a seven-run bottom of the seventh erased that deficit and ultimately decided the contest. By game's end, the model's estimate had reached 100% in favor of Chicago.
The seventh inning was the defining sequence of the night. Munetaka Murakami delivered the decisive blow, a home run off Drew Pomeranz that shifted win probability by plus-29.9 points and represented the single largest swing of the game. Nick Sandlin replaced Pomeranz and was unable to stop the bleeding, as Tristan Peters singled for a plus-12.4 point swing, Edgar Quero was hit by a pitch adding another plus-15.7 points, and Andrew Benintendi capped the rally with a two-bagger worth plus-16.6 points to push Chicago's advantage. The Angels managed two runs in the ninth but Adam Frazier's groundout off Bryan Hudson, a minus-16.6 point swing, effectively closed the door on any comeback.
Murakami finished as the game's top performer by both WPA and RE24, posting plus-27.1 and plus-2.1 respectively, with Vaughn Grissom adding plus-17.6 WPA and Andrew Benintendi contributing plus-16.3 WPA to round out the offensive standouts. On the mound, Jack Kochanowicz was the pitching leader at plus-24.1 WPA, with Bryan Hudson logging plus-16.6 WPA in closing out the win. The Angels out-hit Chicago 14 to 9 on the night but were undone entirely by their inability to survive that seventh-inning collapse.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.