The Pittsburgh Pirates shut out the Milwaukee Brewers 6-0 at American Family Field on April 24, 2026, holding Milwaukee to just one hit while committing no errors. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Brewers a 48% chance of winning at home, but by the final out that estimate had fallen to 0%, a complete reversal driven by Pittsburgh's methodical scoring and dominant pitching from start to finish.
The decisive blow came in the third inning when Konnor Griffin launched a home run off Brandon Woodruff, a swing worth plus 10.7% in win probability and the single biggest play of the game. Pittsburgh continued to build on Woodruff in the fourth, with Nick Gonzales delivering a single worth plus 6.8% and Brandon Lowe following with a double worth plus 6.2%, steadily tightening the Pirates' grip on the game. Oneil Cruz added to the damage in the fifth with a fielder's choice worth plus 6.5%, and Spencer Horwitz kept the pressure on in the sixth with a single off Shane Drohan, also worth plus 6.5%. Griffin finished as the game's top offensive performer with a cumulative WPA of plus 17.8% and a RE24 of plus 3.1, followed by Horwitz at plus 6.1% WPA and plus 1.3 RE24, and Gonzales at plus 3.0% WPA.
On the mound, Paul Skenes was the story for Pittsburgh, accumulating plus 28.7% in win probability added and rendering Milwaukee's offense nearly nonexistent across his outing. Isaac Mattson and Mason Montgomery each closed out the game at plus 0.0% WPA, a reflection of how thoroughly Skenes had already sealed the outcome. The Brewers managed only one hit across nine innings and were charged with two errors, compounding their inability to generate any meaningful threat against a Pirates pitching staff that the DiamondIQ model would lean toward crediting as the decisive factor in the lopsided result.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.