MLB Preview · August 31, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Prediction, Odds & Preview

PHI 54-44at AZ 49-48·Chase Field·

DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability

PHI49.8%50.2%AZ

The model leans AZ (50.2%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.

Forecast at First Pitch

☀️103°FClear
Wind 9 mph W · L→R
Precip 1%

Injured List

PHI
Brad Keller (P)Injured 15-Day
Lou Trivino III (P)Injured 15-Day
Tanner Banks (P)Injured 15-Day
Adolis García (RF)Injured 60-Day
Johan Rojas (CF)Injured 60-Day
AZ
Jordan Lawlar (LF)Injured 10-Day
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (LF)Injured 10-Day
Tommy Troy (LF)Injured 10-Day
Michael Soroka (P)Injured 15-Day
Zac Gallen (P)Injured 15-Day
A.J. Puk (P)Injured 60-Day
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Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.
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