MLB Preview · June 18, 2026
San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves: Prediction, Odds & Preview
SF 42-55at ATL 56-40·Truist Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
SF40.7%59.3%ATL
The model leans ATL (59.3%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
SF
ERA
3.98
WHIP
1.27
K%
24.4
BB%
10.3
K/9
9.17
IP
104.0
Arsenal
Sinker 36% · 93mphCurveball 26% · 77mphChangeup 20% · 87mphCutter 14% · 89mphFour-Seam 4% · 93mph
ATL
ERA
3.54
WHIP
1.19
K%
18.6
BB%
9.6
K/9
6.86
IP
81.1
Arsenal
Sinker 33% · 89mphChangeup 30% · 82mphCutter 23% · 85mphCurveball 8% · 77mphFour-Seam 5% · 90mph
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️94°FClear
Wind 7 mph SW · R→L
Precip 31%
Injured List
SF
Harrison Bader (CF)Injured 10-Day
Jonah Cox (CF)Injured 10-Day
Matt Chapman (3B)Injured 10-Day
Victor Bericoto (RF)Injured 10-Day
Matt Gage (P)Injured 15-Day
Hayden Birdsong (P)Injured 60-Day
ATL
Ha-Seong Kim (SS)Injured 10-Day
Mike Yastrzemski (LF)Injured 10-Day
Ronald Acuña Jr. (RF)Injured 10-Day
Martín Pérez (P)Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez (P)Injured 15-Day
AJ Smith-Shawver (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.