MLB Preview · August 30, 2026
San Diego Padres at Tampa Bay Rays: Prediction, Odds & Preview
SD 48-49at TB 56-40·Tropicana Field·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
SD42.9%57.1%TB
The model leans TB (57.1%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️86°FClear
Wind 16 mph SSW · out to CF
Precip 39%
Injured List
SD
Samad Taylor (LF)Injured 10-Day
David Morgan (P)Injured 15-Day
Jason Adam (P)Injured 15-Day
Jeremiah Estrada (P)Injured 15-Day
Lucas Giolito (P)Injured 15-Day
Randy Vásquez (P)Injured 15-Day
TB
Jake Fraley (RF)Injured 10-Day
Jesse Scholtens (P)Injured 15-Day
Steven Matz (P)Injured 15-Day
Edwin Uceta (P)Injured 60-Day
Gavin Lux (LF)Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.