MLB Preview · August 25, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres: Prediction, Odds & Preview
PIT 50-47at SD 48-49·Petco Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
PIT48.5%51.5%SD
The model leans SD (51.5%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️81°FOvercast
Wind 9 mph WNW · L→R
Precip 0%
Injured List
PIT
Endy Rodríguez (C)Injured 10-Day
Oneil Cruz (CF)Injured 10-Day
Spencer Horwitz (1B)Injured 10-Day
Evan Sisk (P)Injured 15-Day
Wilber Dotel (P)Injured 15-Day
Chris Devenski (P)Injured 60-Day
SD
Samad Taylor (LF)Injured 10-Day
David Morgan (P)Injured 15-Day
Jason Adam (P)Injured 15-Day
Jeremiah Estrada (P)Injured 15-Day
Lucas Giolito (P)Injured 15-Day
Randy Vásquez (P)Injured 15-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.