MLB Preview · August 23, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners: Prediction, Odds & Preview
CHC 54-43at SEA 48-50·T-Mobile Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
CHC50.9%49.1%SEA
The model leans CHC (50.9%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️85°FOvercast
Wind 6 mph NNW · L→R
Precip 0%
Injured List
CHC
Matt Shaw (RF)Injured 10-Day
Ben Brown (P)Injured 15-Day
Daniel Palencia (P)Injured 15-Day
Edward Cabrera (P)Injured 15-Day
Ethan Roberts (P)Injured 15-Day
Hoby Milner (P)Injured 15-Day
SEA
Julio Rodríguez (CF)Injured 7-Day
Brendan Donovan (3B)Injured 10-Day
Rob Refsnyder (DH)Injured 10-Day
Matt Brash (P)Injured 15-Day
Carlos Vargas (P)Injured 60-Day
Cooper Criswell (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.