MLB Preview · August 21, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies: Prediction, Odds & Preview
STL 51-45at PHI 54-44·Citizens Bank Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
STL46.4%53.6%PHI
The model leans PHI (53.6%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️84°FOvercast
Wind 4 mph WSW · L→R
Precip 2%
Injured List
STL
PHI
Brad Keller (P)Injured 15-Day
Lou Trivino III (P)Injured 15-Day
Tanner Banks (P)Injured 15-Day
Adolis García (RF)Injured 60-Day
Johan Rojas (CF)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.